Alarm.com AI Price Prediction

With a PE ratio of 21.95 and EPS of 2.36, Alarm.com is priced at a moderate earnings multiple that suggests the market views it as a steady, not hyper‑growth, SaaS/IoT security player. The valuation implies reasonable profitability and a solid earnings base, but not an obvious bargain or an aggressively priced growth story. Absent additional data on revenue growth and margins, the financial picture appears balanced rather than clearly skewed bullish or bearish.

• A PE ratio of ~22 on EPS of 2.36 indicates the company is profitable and valued at a modest premium to the broader market, consistent with a mature but still growing tech-enabled services business.
• The earnings profile (positive EPS) suggests a sustainable business model and room for reinvestment, but the multiple does not signal extremely high growth expectations.
• Without explicit revenue and margin trend data, the financial read-through is that the market currently assigns Alarm.com a fair, middle‑of‑the‑road valuation reflecting stable but not explosive fundamentals.

At $51.81, Alarm.com trades modestly below its 200‑day moving average of $54.33, pointing to a mild downward or consolidating trend rather than a strong uptrend. The RSI of 42.74 is below the neutral 50 level but far from oversold, suggesting subdued momentum without capitulation. The stock’s 0.3% decline over the last month reinforces a picture of sideways-to-slightly-weak price action.

• Price below the 200‑day moving average ($51.81 vs. $54.33) indicates the longer‑term trend has softened, and the stock is in a mild technical downtrend or consolidation phase.
• RSI at 42.74 signals neither overbought nor oversold conditions, implying limited near‑term momentum and no strong technical catalyst in either direction.
• A small 0.3% decline over the last month suggests low volatility and a wait‑and‑see posture from investors rather than aggressive selling or buying pressure.

Alternative data for Alarm.com is broadly stable with modest positive signals rather than clear acceleration. Website traffic is flat month over month, hiring is inching up, and social media followings are generally steady with small gains on Instagram and LinkedIn. These patterns point to a business that is maintaining its presence and operations, but not currently experiencing a strong inflection in demand or brand engagement.

• Website traffic of ~1.9M monthly visitors with 0.0% month‑over‑month growth suggests stable customer and prospect engagement, but no clear surge in top‑of‑funnel interest.
• Job openings at 58, up 1.8% month over month, hint at cautious expansion and ongoing investment in growth and operations rather than contraction.
• Social media data is mixed but mostly steady: slight follower growth on Instagram (+2.0% in 90 days) and LinkedIn (+0.7%), flat Facebook, and a marginal decline on Twitter/X (‑0.1%), collectively indicating stable brand visibility without a strong positive or negative signal.

Overall, Alarm.com’s setup appears neutral: the company is profitable and reasonably valued, the stock trades modestly below its long‑term average with muted momentum, and alternative data shows stability with only incremental positive signs. There is no strong evidence of either a near‑term breakdown or a powerful upside catalyst in the current data. The stock looks more like a steady compounder candidate awaiting a clearer fundamental or technical trigger than a high‑conviction bullish or bearish opportunity.

• Profitability and valuation metrics point to a fundamentally sound, fairly valued business rather than a distressed or overhyped name.
• Technical and alternative data indicators are largely stable with mild softness in price and modest growth in hiring and engagement, supporting a neutral stance until stronger trends emerge.