Alibaba AI Price Prediction

Alibaba’s stock has shown strong short-term momentum, rising 16.3% in the last month and trading well above its 200-day moving average. The RSI at 41.47 suggests the stock is not overbought despite the recent rally, leaving room for further upside. Overall, the technical setup leans constructive.

• Price at $171.38 vs. a 200-day moving average of $139.85 indicates the stock is in a sustained uptrend and has broken meaningfully above longer-term support.
• A 16.3% gain over the last month signals strong positive momentum and renewed investor interest after a period of relative underperformance.
• RSI at 41.47 is in neutral territory, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, which, combined with the uptrend, supports a bullish technical bias rather than a late-stage rally.

Alternative data for Alibaba is notably strong, especially in mobile app downloads and hiring activity. The sharp increase in app downloads and rising job openings point to growing user engagement and operational scaling. Social media followings are large and stable with modest growth, reinforcing a solid brand presence.

• Mobile app downloads at an estimated 13,006,000 per day, up 333.5% month over month, are a very strong leading indicator of user acquisition, engagement, and potential GMV growth across Alibaba’s ecosystem.
• Job openings at 72, up 24.1% month over month, suggest the company is selectively expanding headcount, which often correlates with confidence in future demand and product roadmap execution.
• Web traffic at ~158.6 million visitors per month, combined with large and slowly growing social media audiences (e.g., ~13.9M Instagram, ~28.8M Facebook followers), indicates a broad, entrenched user base with continued, if modest, engagement growth.

Overall, Alibaba’s stock setup leans bullish, driven by strong technical momentum and very positive alternative data signals, while fundamentals appear reasonably valued but not clearly stretched. The combination of a strong uptrend, neutral RSI, surging app downloads, and increased hiring supports a constructive outlook. Risks remain around macro and regulatory factors not captured in this data, but the current signals skew positive for the stock.

• Technical indicators (price above 200-day moving average, strong recent performance, neutral RSI) support a bullish near- to medium-term view.
• Explosive growth in app downloads and rising job postings provide supportive alternative data that aligns with potential future revenue and engagement growth.