Télévision Française 1 Société anonyme AI Price Prediction

With a PE ratio of 9.34 and EPS of €0.86, Télévision Française 1 Société anonyme (TF1) appears reasonably valued versus typical media peers, suggesting the market is pricing in modest growth and cyclical risk. Profitability exists but is not being rewarded with a premium multiple, implying investors remain cautious about structural pressures in traditional TV and advertising. Overall, fundamentals look stable rather than strongly improving or deteriorating based on the limited metrics provided.

• Valuation at a PE of 9.34 is on the low-to-mid side for a profitable media company, indicating the market is discounting cyclical and structural risks rather than expecting strong growth.
• EPS of €0.86 confirms that TF1 is solidly profitable, but the modest multiple suggests investors see earnings as mature or potentially volatile rather than on a sustained growth trajectory.
• No explicit revenue or margin trend data is provided, so while profitability is evident, there is insufficient evidence to argue for a clearly improving or worsening financial trend, supporting a neutral stance.

The stock at €8.04 is trading slightly below its 200-day moving average of €8.39, and is down 3.5% over the last month, pointing to mild short-term weakness but not a pronounced downtrend. An RSI of 45 indicates neither overbought nor oversold conditions, suggesting the stock is in a consolidation phase rather than at an extreme. Overall, technicals lean slightly cautious but do not signal a strong directional bias.

• Price of €8.04 is about 4% below the 200-day moving average of €8.39, a modestly negative technical signal but not a deep breakdown below long-term trend support.
• The 3.5% decline over the last month reflects short-term selling pressure, yet the RSI at 45 shows momentum is relatively balanced and not capitulatory.
• Neutral RSI and proximity to the 200-day moving average together suggest a consolidation zone where future direction will likely be driven by upcoming earnings or macro/sector news rather than current technical extremes.

Alternative data for TF1 is mixed: web traffic is modest, but mobile app downloads at roughly 11,000 per day indicate meaningful digital engagement. Social media followings on major platforms like Instagram and Facebook are large and still growing slightly, implying a stable or slowly expanding audience footprint. A small month-over-month decline in job openings hints at cautious hiring but not a sharp retrenchment, collectively pointing to a steady, not strongly accelerating, business outlook.

• Estimated 80,710 monthly website visitors is relatively modest for a large media brand, but 11,000 daily app downloads suggest TF1 is successfully driving engagement through mobile channels, an important shift as consumption moves off traditional TV.
• Social media presence is strong and generally growing: 1.84M+ Instagram followers (+1.4% in 90 days), 6.3M+ Facebook followers (+1.3%), and 348k YouTube subscribers (+0.3%), indicating sustained brand reach and audience stickiness even if growth rates are modest.
• Job openings at 23, down 4.2% month over month, point to slightly more cautious hiring but not a broad contraction, implying management is balancing cost discipline with maintaining operational capacity.

Overall, TF1’s stock setup appears neutral: the company is profitable with a reasonable valuation, but the market is not pricing in strong growth, and technicals show mild weakness without clear oversold conditions. Alternative data suggests a stable and sizeable audience with incremental digital traction, offset by only modest growth signals and slightly tighter hiring. The balance of evidence points to a steady, income-generating media name rather than a clear near-term upside or downside outlier.

• Fundamentals and valuation are consistent with a mature, profitable media business where investors remain cautious about long-term growth, leading to a neutral stance rather than clearly bullish or bearish.
• Technicals and alternative data both indicate stability with modest headwinds and modest digital positives, suggesting the stock may trade range-bound until a stronger catalyst—either positive (digital growth, advertising rebound) or negative (structural TV decline)—emerges.