eBay Inc. AI Price Prediction

The stock is trading at €69.75, about 10.8% lower over the last month and below its 200-day moving average of €73.56, indicating a negative intermediate-term trend. An RSI of 35.16 is close to oversold territory but not yet at an extreme, suggesting selling pressure has been meaningful but not capitulatory. Overall, the technical setup currently leans bearish, with some potential for a short-term bounce if oversold conditions deepen.

• Price is down 10.8% in the last month and currently below the 200-day moving average (€69.75 vs €73.56), a classic sign of a weak or deteriorating trend.
• The 200-day moving average acting above the current price often serves as resistance, implying the stock may face difficulty regaining prior levels without a clear catalyst.
• RSI at 35.16 reflects negative momentum and proximity to oversold (30), signaling persistent selling pressure but not yet a clear technical reversal signal.

The most concerning signal is the sharp 65.9% month-over-month decline in daily mobile app downloads, which could foreshadow weaker user engagement or GMV growth if sustained. Web traffic at 671,576 estimated monthly visitors appears modest and does not offset the app weakness, while social media follower counts are largely flat with only marginal growth on Instagram and no recent momentum elsewhere. A small uptick in job openings suggests some ongoing investment, but overall alternative data points lean negative for near-term demand and engagement trends.

• Estimated 1,048,000 daily app downloads are down 65.9% month over month, a steep decline that may signal slowing new user acquisition or reduced marketing intensity.
• Web traffic of 671,576 visitors per month looks relatively modest for a global marketplace and, combined with falling app downloads, raises questions about top-of-funnel demand trends.
• Social media presence is large but largely stagnant (flat on Twitter/X, TikTok, Facebook, YouTube; only +0.3% on Instagram over 90 days), suggesting limited recent brand engagement momentum despite a slight 2.3% increase in job openings (586) indicating only modest expansion.

Taken together, eBay’s current setup skews bearish: the stock is in a short-term downtrend below its 200-day moving average, and alternative data—especially the sharp drop in app downloads—suggests weakening engagement or acquisition dynamics. While the valuation and profitability profile appear reasonably stable, they do not yet offset the negative technical and demand-side signals.

• Technical indicators (price below 200-day MA, recent 10.8% decline, RSI near oversold) point to a weak trend with limited evidence of a confirmed reversal.
• Alternative data, particularly the 65.9% month-over-month decline in app downloads and largely stagnant social media growth, reinforces a cautious, bearish stance despite a fundamentally profitable business.