Alibaba Group Holding Limited AI Price Prediction

With a PE ratio of 22.14 and EPS of 6.45, Alibaba is priced at a moderate earnings multiple that suggests neither deep distress nor aggressive growth expectations. The valuation appears broadly in line with a mature large-cap tech/platform company, but without additional evidence of accelerating revenue or margin expansion, the current profile points to a balanced risk‑reward rather than a clearly compelling upside story.

• A PE of 22.14 on EPS of 6.45 implies the market is assigning a reasonable, but not high-growth, multiple to Alibaba’s earnings, consistent with a mature platform business facing both opportunities and structural headwinds.
• The earnings profile (positive EPS and a mid‑20s multiple) suggests the company remains solidly profitable, but the valuation does not indicate strong confidence in rapid future earnings growth.
• In the absence of explicit data on revenue growth and margins, the financial picture looks steady rather than strongly improving, supporting a neutral stance on fundamentals at this time.

Alternative data for Alibaba is mixed: app downloads and job postings are modestly improving, while web traffic and social media followings are largely flat with only marginal changes. These signals suggest operational stability and some incremental investment in growth, but not a strong inflection in user or brand momentum.

• Mobile apps are being downloaded an estimated 13,026,000 times per day, with a 0.2% month‑over‑month increase, indicating very large scale and slightly positive user acquisition momentum, but not a sharp acceleration.
• Job openings at 68, up 21.4% month over month, point to increased hiring and potential investment in new initiatives or capacity, a mildly positive signal for growth and confidence in the business outlook.
• Web traffic (470,921 estimated monthly visitors) and social media audiences show mostly flat to marginal changes (e.g., Twitter/X up 0.2%, Facebook down 0.2%, others flat), implying stable but not rapidly expanding engagement with the brand.

Overall, Alibaba’s stock currently reflects a constructive technical setup against a fundamentally steady but not clearly accelerating business backdrop. The combination of a solid earnings base, moderate valuation, improving price trend, and largely stable alternative data supports a neutral stance with a slight positive tilt driven mainly by technicals.

• Technicals are the strongest positive factor, with the stock above its 200‑day moving average, a double‑digit monthly gain, and an RSI that confirms bullish momentum without overextension.
• Fundamentals and alternative data appear stable rather than strongly improving, so while downside risk looks contained by profitability and scale, upside potential likely depends on future evidence of faster growth or margin expansion.