Alibaba Group Holding Limited AI Price Prediction

With a PE ratio of 20.66 and EPS of 6.39, Alibaba is priced at a moderate earnings multiple that suggests neither clear undervaluation nor overvaluation based solely on these metrics. The valuation implies the market expects steady but not explosive earnings growth, consistent with a maturing large-cap tech and commerce platform. Absent more detailed revenue and margin data, the earnings profile looks stable but not compellingly strong.

• A PE ratio of 20.66 places Alibaba in a middle ground: not distressed, but also not priced like a high-growth tech leader, implying moderate growth expectations.
• EPS of 6.39 indicates a solid earnings base, but the current multiple suggests investors are cautious about the pace and durability of future profit growth.
• Without clear evidence of accelerating revenue or margin expansion, the financial picture appears steady rather than strongly improving, supporting a neutral stance.

The stock is trading at €132.00, about 6% lower over the last month, signaling recent selling pressure but not a collapse. An RSI of 40.78 indicates the stock is in a mildly oversold to neutral zone, not yet at extreme pessimism. Trading modestly above its 200-day moving average of €124.05 suggests a slightly positive longer-term trend despite short-term weakness.

• Price at €132.00 vs. a 200-day moving average of €124.05 indicates the longer-term trend is still marginally positive, even after a recent 6% pullback.
• RSI at 40.78 is below the 50 midpoint but above oversold levels (30), pointing to cautious sentiment rather than capitulation or strong momentum.
• The recent 1-month decline, combined with a price still above the 200-day MA, suggests a consolidation phase rather than a clear bullish or bearish breakout.

Web traffic at roughly 482,010 monthly visitors and flat app downloads at 3,020,000 per day (0.0% month-over-month) indicate stable, but not accelerating, user engagement. Job openings up 13.2% month-over-month to 77 suggest selective investment and hiring, a modestly positive signal for business activity. Social media followings are large but growing only marginally, pointing to a mature brand with limited recent engagement momentum.

• Flat app downloads (3,020,000 per day, 0.0% MoM change) and stable web traffic imply user activity is holding steady rather than expanding rapidly.
• Job openings rising 13.2% MoM to 77 roles indicate the company is adding capacity and investing in operations, a cautiously positive demand and growth signal.
• Social media audiences are sizable across platforms but show minimal growth over the last 90 days, consistent with a mature, widely known brand rather than one in a hyper-growth adoption phase.

Overall, Alibaba’s stock setup appears neutral: valuation and earnings are consistent with a mature large-cap, technicals show consolidation above the long-term average, and alternative data point to stable but not accelerating engagement. There are modestly positive signs in hiring and a price above the 200-day moving average, but the absence of strong growth signals or momentum tempers a bullish view.

• The combination of a mid-range PE, stable EPS, and a price slightly above the 200-day moving average suggests a balanced risk-reward profile without a clear directional bias.
• Alternative data (flat downloads, steady traffic, modest hiring growth, and slow social follower gains) support a view of operational stability rather than strong re-acceleration, leading to an overall neutral sentiment on the stock.