e.l.f. Cosmetics AI Price Prediction

With a PE ratio of 46.38 and EPS of 1.77, the market is still pricing in strong growth and solid profitability, but the valuation is elevated versus typical consumer staples and beauty peers. This suggests investors expect continued revenue and earnings expansion, leaving less room for error. Without more detailed recent income statement data, the fundamental picture appears broadly positive but already well-reflected in the stock price.

• EPS of 1.77 combined with a price of $82.09 implies a rich valuation, signaling the market is paying up for growth and brand strength.
• A PE of 46.38 is high relative to many traditional beauty and consumer companies, indicating strong growth expectations but also higher downside risk if growth slows.
• No signs from the given data of deteriorating profitability; instead, the valuation suggests the company has been delivering solid revenue and earnings growth that investors expect to continue.

The stock is down 5.7% over the last month and trades well below its 200-day moving average of $103.86, indicating a medium-term downtrend. An RSI of 17.29, however, signals the shares are deeply oversold in the near term and may be due for a technical bounce. Overall, the setup is short-term contrarian bullish but medium-term trend bearish, netting out to a neutral stance.

• Current price of $82.09 is significantly below the 200-day moving average of $103.86, a classic sign of a prevailing downtrend and negative momentum on an intermediate horizon.
• RSI at 17.29 is well below the typical oversold threshold of 30, suggesting selling pressure may be overextended and a short-term rebound is possible.
• The recent 5.7% monthly decline, combined with a high PE, indicates some multiple compression or profit-taking, but not necessarily a broken long-term story.

Alternative data is mixed: app downloads have dropped sharply month over month, which can be a negative demand or engagement signal, while job openings have surged, suggesting expansion and investment in growth. Social media followings are large and generally stable to slightly growing, indicating brand resilience but not explosive new momentum. Overall, these signals point to a solid but not accelerating growth picture.

• App downloads at an estimated 22,000 per day but down 47.6% month over month is a notable negative signal for near-term user acquisition and digital engagement.
• Job openings at 150, up 57.9% month over month, indicate the company is investing in headcount and likely planning for continued growth, capacity expansion, or new initiatives.
• Social media presence is very strong (e.g., 7.56M Instagram, 2.7M TikTok, 2.63M Facebook) with small but positive growth on most platforms and especially robust LinkedIn growth (+4.2%), suggesting a healthy brand and corporate expansion, though not a major inflection in consumer buzz.

The combination of a high valuation, oversold technicals, and mixed alternative data supports a neutral overall view on e.l.f. Cosmetics’ stock. Fundamentals appear strong and the brand remains well-engaged with consumers, but the elevated PE and recent weakness in app downloads temper a more aggressive bullish stance.

• Short-term technicals (very low RSI and price well below the 200-day moving average) suggest potential for a rebound, but the broader trend has turned weaker.
• Fundamentals and brand indicators remain solid, yet the rich valuation and some softening in key digital engagement metrics argue for a balanced, neutral outlook rather than a clearly bullish or bearish call.