Estée Lauder AI Price Prediction

The stock has fallen 12.5% over the last month, indicating near-term selling pressure and weak sentiment. However, the current price of $99.47 remains above the 200-day moving average of $89.19, and the RSI of 38.35 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory but not at extreme levels. Technically, this points to a corrective phase within a still-intact longer-term base rather than a clear breakdown or a clear buying signal.

• Price down 12.5% in the last month reflects a meaningful short-term drawdown and negative momentum, likely tied to earnings concerns and macro headwinds.
• Current price of $99.47 is above the 200-day moving average of $89.19, which typically signals that the longer-term trend is not decisively broken, even as the stock corrects.
• RSI at 38.35 is below the neutral 50 level and moving toward oversold (<30), suggesting selling pressure is significant but not yet at capitulation levels; this can precede either a relief bounce or further grinding downside.

Alternative data for Estée Lauder is broadly stable rather than strongly expanding or contracting. Website traffic (4.64M monthly visitors), app downloads (~11,000 per day), and job postings (1,000 open roles) are all flat month over month, pointing to a steady but not accelerating demand and investment environment. Social media followership shows marginal growth across most platforms and a small decline on Twitter/X, suggesting brand engagement is holding up but not driving a clear upside inflection.

• Website traffic at ~4.64M visitors per month with 0.0% month-over-month growth indicates stable but non-accelerating digital demand, which neither strongly supports nor undermines the stock in the near term.
• App downloads at ~11,000 per day with 0.0% month-over-month growth and 1,000 job openings flat month over month suggest the company is maintaining its digital and organizational footprint rather than aggressively expanding or retrenching.
• Social media presence is large and generally inching higher (e.g., modest growth on TikTok, Facebook, YouTube, LinkedIn) with stagnation or slight decline on Twitter/X, implying brand equity remains intact but is not showing breakout engagement that would offset financial and valuation concerns.