Smith Micro Software AI Price Prediction

Smith Micro Software is currently unprofitable, as indicated by its negative EPS and PE ratio. The lack of earnings support suggests that the equity story is driven more by turnaround expectations than by current fundamentals, which raises risk for shareholders.

• Negative EPS of -1.07 and a PE ratio of -0.54 confirm that the company is loss-making and not generating positive net income.
• A negative PE and low absolute share price imply the market is heavily discounting the company’s future cash flows and growth prospects.
• Without evidence of improving margins or a clear path to profitability, current financials point to elevated fundamental risk and limited valuation support.

The stock trades at $0.58, below its 200-day moving average of $0.77, and is down 6.9% over the last month, signaling a prevailing downtrend. An RSI of 33.72 is near oversold territory, which can indicate short-term bounce potential but still reflects ongoing selling pressure.

• Price below the 200-day moving average ($0.58 vs. $0.77) indicates the longer-term trend remains negative and the stock is technically weak.
• A 6.9% decline over the last month reinforces the short-term bearish momentum and lack of near-term buying interest.
• RSI at 33.72 is close to oversold, suggesting the stock is under pressure; while this can precede short-term rebounds, it more clearly reflects current negative sentiment.

Alternative data show limited growth momentum: modest web traffic, flat hiring, and largely stagnant or slightly declining social media followings. These indicators suggest muted business expansion and brand engagement, which do not currently support a strong growth narrative.

• Estimated monthly web traffic of 12,375 visitors is relatively low for a software company and does not point to strong top-of-funnel demand or rapid user growth.
• Zero job openings and 0.0% month-over-month change indicate no visible hiring push, implying either cost-cutting or a lack of aggressive growth initiatives.
• Social media presence is small and mostly flat, with minor declines on Twitter/X and Facebook and only marginal gains on Instagram and YouTube, signaling limited marketing reach and customer engagement momentum.

Overall, Smith Micro Software’s setup appears bearish: the company is unprofitable, the stock trades below its long-term moving average with recent negative performance, and alternative data do not show strong growth or engagement trends. While the low price and near-oversold RSI could attract speculative interest, the risk profile remains elevated without clearer signs of operational improvement.

• Unprofitable fundamentals combined with a weak technical trend and sub-$1 share price point to high risk and limited current support for a sustained recovery.
• Alternative data—flat hiring, modest web traffic, and stagnant social channels—do not yet indicate a strong growth inflection that could offset the negative financial and technical picture.