Mercado Libre AI Price Prediction

Alternative data for Mercado Libre is mixed: web traffic appears robust, job postings are rising, but app downloads are down meaningfully month over month. Social media followership is very large but growing slowly, suggesting a mature brand with incremental rather than explosive engagement growth. Overall, signals point to a stable, entrenched platform with some near‑term softness in user acquisition via mobile.

• Web traffic of ~33.8M visitors per month is substantial, consistent with Mercado Libre’s position as a leading regional marketplace; no decline is indicated, implying stable top‑of‑funnel demand.
• App downloads of ~8.8M per day are very high in absolute terms but down 17.2% month over month, signaling a short‑term slowdown in new or reactivated mobile users that could modestly temper near‑term growth expectations.
• Job openings at 258, up 20.6% month over month, suggest the company is investing in expansion and product/technology capabilities, a generally positive forward‑looking indicator despite the softer app‑download trend.

Mercado Libre’s fundamentals and valuation profile remain attractive, with solid earnings and a growth‑oriented multiple that reflect its strong competitive position in Latin American e‑commerce and fintech. However, the stock’s recent price weakness, trading below its 200‑day moving average with a soft RSI, and a notable drop in app downloads introduce near‑term caution. Taken together, the setup appears balanced: structurally positive fundamentals offset by short‑term technical and demand headwinds, leading to a neutral overall stance.

• Profitability and growth expectations remain strong, but the market is currently de‑rating the stock in the short term, as shown by price action below the 200‑day moving average.
• Alternative data is mixed—robust traffic and rising hiring contrast with weaker app‑download momentum—supporting a view that the long‑term story is intact while near‑term growth may be moderating.